As we move towards a collective and collaborative approach to the planning, commissioning and delivery of health services through ICS, we'll need to change the shape of health services. Malcom Lowe-Lauri explains why we need a new approach to healthcare transformation.

For an NHS consultant, a nurse, an allied health practitioner or any of the wider health professions, returning to the way life was before the demands of the last year may not seem attractive.

We were already falling short of expectations in urgent care delivery, waiting times and outcomes of critical diseases, such as cancer and heart disease. Taking an executive and regulator perspective, we were struggling financially and across the key performance metrics. Simply going back and trying harder doesn't seem like a good idea. Witness the numbers of consultant practitioners reporting their imminent retirement or reduced hours in the coming year.

The Integrated Care System (ICS) concept is an excellent opportunity to do more than reversion. A legal entity sitting above the separately sovereign activities of NHS providers and bringing that together with the service commissioning function can be an excellent basis for alignment, collaboration and delivery of strategic change. But it needs a route to change. It needs to be about more than improvement.

A new era of technology with ICS

We're in an era of science and technology, which after a few false dawns, offers us massive technical change. For health, rather than thinking about the next 'gizmo', we prefer to think of the five key platforms:

1 remote consultation

2 remote monitoring/surveillance

3 decision aids

4 machine learning/AI

5 precision diagnosis/treatment

Much of this has already arrived. Hence, the rapidity with which we moved to so much remote consultation during lockdown. But more is moving in, such as the use of a range of tests for precision diagnosis and treatment with a journey for patient populations that involves risk stratification, targeted diagnosis and treatment regimes and a lot less use of the traditional diagnosis and treatment routes, as illustrated below.

Tests under development for precision medicine
Future health risks Cardiometabolic
Probability of a primary CV event within 4 years
Probability of a secondary CV event within 4 years
Probability of diabetes diagnosis within 10 years
NASH two-year expected liver biopsy result
Functionally relevant coronary heart disease
CV one-year event risk/presence
Heart failure one-year hospitalization risk
Heart failure sub phenotype
Near-term diabetes risk/secondary complication risk
Renal function prognosis
Current health state Respiratory
Glucose tolerance: impaired (vs. OGTT)
Lean body mass (kg. vs. DEXA)
Body fat (% vs. DEXA)
Visceral fat (kg. vs. DEXA)
Bone mineral mass (kg. vs. DEXA)
Liver fat (category vs. ultrasound)
NASH fibrosis, ballooning, inflammation & steatosis (vs. biopsy)
Kidney  eGFR (vs. creatinine, age, sex, race)
Aerobic fitness (vs. VO2 Max)
Resting metabolic rate (vs. VO2 resting)
COPD exacerbation risk
Modifiable behaviours Cancer
Current cigarette smoking
Alcohol consumption above 1 drink/day
Physical activity (vs. actigraphy and heart rate)
Statin use (vs. population prescription)
Training status (vs. known status)
Cancer risk/presence
  Mental health/illness
  Alzheimer’s risk
  Prognosis & monitoring
  Fitness/risk for surgery 
Frailty
Drug compliance/effect/complications
  Modifiable behaviours
  Nutritional status
Biological age
Social deprivation
Physical activity & fitness
Lifespan/death risk

Figure 1. Tests under development for precision medicine

Article
Why is NHS infrastructure vital to economic recovery? Find out more

The future is here, but it needs gripping. Small wonder that some perceptive trusts have chosen to pursue digital development over estate redevelopment, and others have become clear that you can’t do one without the other.

If the technology is here how can we adapt to deploy it? I think this is beyond the traditional and even the emerging improvement methodologies.

These broadly take the existing system as a given. But the technology offers the opportunity to move services out of hospitals at scale, to change the relationship between consultant practitioners and primary care clinicians very fundamentally, and to bring the patient and carer into play as providers of their own health. All goals of the NHS Long Term Plan.

This needs the right kind of conversations between practitioners and their communities. This, in turn, needs trust and respect between the players.

I understand and encourage ICSs to go out for advice and support for their change journey. But that advice cannot be based largely on young, clever people, valuable though these are. The change dialogue will need knowledge, experience and wisdom.

Professionals in the ICS are the local experts. To help them critique science and technology, understand what to adapt, and how to arrive at the right organisational solution, they need to be supported by genuine expertise – “our experts with your experts”, as we like to say.

There has to be clear clinical and scientific credibility from the adviser to tease out the ambition of the teams.

How to engage with your key influencers

120x120-lightbulb.png

 

    This needs real expertise - knowledge, experience and wisdom - to co-develop with your experts.

 

120x120-plane.png

 

  Supporting your leadership process to get the baggage out  and select your services for consideration.

 

120x120-medical-cross.png

 

  An engagement process with clinical leaders across the system for vision and principles for future service based on technology policy and context.

 

120x120-eye.png

 

  A system look at pathways and population segments with real time demand capacity and options modelling.

 

120x120-document-check.png

 

  Co-production of realistic but very challenging plans eg PAHT Northern Devon, Cardiff and Vale.

Walking the walk

The dialogue for ICS must be wrapped in the right processes. It must be heavy on workforce, patient and public engagement across the ICS. It must be based on a collective vision, principles and focus on needy population segments and the pathways they use. And it will need programme discipline.

But if the experts work together, as we have found consistently in the last year, the vision for and commitment to transformation becomes remarkable. 

To discuss the future of ICS further, get in touch with Malcom Lowe-Lauri.

Get the latest insights, events and guidance about the public healthcare sector, straight to your inbox.