Recent events have put pressure on every sector, but there are particular challenges facing higher education. Alistair Wardell looks at what universities at financial risk can do to survive.
Universities at financial risk, once thought of as infallible, are now facing a whole new world of uncertainty. I wonder what will happen when vice chancellors, governing boards and heads of finance recognise they are now having to operating like corporate entrepreneurs, when faced with the harsh reality that their golden dream has unwittingly become a distressed business.
At the end of last year, the BBC reported on a number of notable brands that had disappeared over the past decade. While these stories may have been shocking at the time, the news of failed businesses is not a revelation. In the higher education arena, where many universities at financial risk have previously been fortunate to have benefitted from a wide variety of income streams, however, the announcement of an insolvency is alien.
I have 20-years-plus experience of helping both business boards and business owners, together with banks, lenders and investors, address highly sensitive and problematic commercially distressed organisations; and I can candidly state, this is a complex and obscure sector when it comes to considering the severe impact universities at financial risk are dealing with.
Potential for 13 universities at financial risk to become insolvent
With previous news from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) highlighting the potential of 13 universities at financial risk becoming insolvent, and the government now offering a new restructuring regime specifically for the higher education sector, this is a stressful time for the industry. I feel the need to speak out and offer some crumb of comfort in these challenging times.
I cannot emphasise highly enough the importance of timing and the need to take swift action to explore all options that are available. The task is a difficult one; emotions need to be set aside to avoid distraction as university leaders contend with the challenges of market uncertainty and the accelerated pace of disruption to their established business model.
Scenario planning, across a multitude of outcomes is a must-do and should also include contingency preparation to provide certainty and a clear course of action, should events not unfold as expected.
A fast-paced and multi-disciplined approach is required and as courses of action, aside from seeking professional guidance to ensure technical and commercial acumen prevail, I would recommend the following:
Identify the revenue and cost options available to the establishment
Map out implementation plans
Engage and communicate with the various stakeholders
Prioritise cash flow and working capital arrangements
Assess current borrowing covenants and clauses
Consider pension-centric consequences
Examine debt restructuring
Navigate the various refinancing and funding options with caution and dexterity
Explore accelerated sales opportunities
Investigate interested investment sources
Focus on reducing the risk of expensive tax consequences
New restructuring regime
The government’s new restructuring regime may herald a degree of hope to ease pressures for some English universities at financial risk. But this scheme will only provide support after all other finance options have been exhausted and when there is a case to do so.
Even if eligible, the governments’ communication is clear that this support comes with specific conditions that align with their wider objectives to focus the sector towards the future needs of the country, such as delivering high-quality courses with good graduate outcomes.
In our commercial experience, such stipulations can be stringent and problematic, and are not always the silver lining they appear to be. In addition, the government's objectives may well conflict with the ethos and values of the university in question. This may leave the leaders of ;universities at financial risk in an unyielding position, making the situation very difficult to swallow.
Furthermore, when applying for this investment and support, there are conditions, measures and criteria to be addressed and, as evidenced within the corporate market, one would expect only the most resilient and water-tight applications to succeed.
Whether this backing will be available, sufficient and timely is yet to be seen. But, given the current circumstaces we are living in, it feels naïve to wait and see. Maybe "restructuring and rescue" should be added to the syllabus!
To further discuss ways universities at financial risk can meet the challenges ahead, get in touch with Alistair Wardell.
A version of this article was previous published by Business Leader and we have republished here with their agreement.